Trading Volatility

ext: Book

Term Structure - Longer-dated has higher IV Skew - Far OTM and ITM options have higher IV Being short skew - betting that the differential between OTM options at ATM options will decrease

Greeks

Volga

  • dVega / dIV

Vanna

  • dDelta / dIV

Variance vs Vol Swaps

  • Variance swaps have more exposure to skew (far OTM options)

Vol Overpricing

Due to:

  • Demand for hedges
  • People buying OTM lottery tickets
  • Bids from structured products e.g. variable annuities

Volatility

  • Vol is standard deviation of returns. So if a stock is always going up with a constant slope, it's vol is still 0
  • Vol of vol is underpriced
  • Futures on vol indices are short vol of vol
  • Volatility futures are generally overpriced because realized < IV

VIX

  • Pricing is based on 1/S2 weighted (S is strike price) therefore it's exposed to the price of deep OTM puts