Trading Volatility
Term Structure - Longer-dated has higher IV Skew - Far OTM and ITM options have higher IV Being short skew - betting that the differential between OTM options at ATM options will decrease
Greeks
Volga
- dVega / dIV
Vanna
- dDelta / dIV
Variance vs Vol Swaps
- Variance swaps have more exposure to skew (far OTM options)
Vol Overpricing
Due to:
- Demand for hedges
- People buying OTM lottery tickets
- Bids from structured products e.g. variable annuities
Volatility
- Vol is standard deviation of returns. So if a stock is always going up with a constant slope, it's vol is still 0
- Vol of vol is underpriced
- Futures on vol indices are short vol of vol
- Volatility futures are generally overpriced because realized < IV
VIX
- Pricing is based on 1/S2 weighted (S is strike price) therefore it's exposed to the price of deep OTM puts